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【学术报告】Bayesian inference for Ordinary Differential Equation Models via Sequential Monte Carlo Methods

时间:2025-11-28

报告人:Wang Liangliang (Simon Fraser University)

报告时间:2025年11月28日(星期五)10:00-11:30

报告地点:腾讯会议:192-672-111

报告摘要:Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) are fundamental for modeling dynamic processes across numerous disciplines, including epidemiology, biology, physics, and economics. However, parameter estimation and inference in ODE-based models remain challenging due to inherent nonlinearities, high-dimensional parameter spaces, multimodal likelihood surfaces, and noisy observational data. In this talk, I will introduce our proposed sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method as a powerful tool for performing Bayesian inference in ODE models. We demonstrate its effectiveness through simulation studies and real-world analyses of COVID-19 data from British Columbia.

报告人简介:王亮亮,加拿大Simon Fraser University统计与精算科学系副教授。于北京大学、McGill University获硕士学位,在University of British Columbia获统计学博士学位。其研究领域涵盖贝叶斯统计、序列蒙特卡洛方法、机器学习、生物统计学等,在微分方程建模、系统发育推断等方向成果丰硕,发表论文 60 余篇,部分成果发表于《Journal of the American Statistical Association》《Bioinformatics》等顶刊。

邀请人:潘灯


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